Jerome Gambit: Hardly A Drawing Weapon

The following Jerome Gambit game of mine reminded me of a post from earlier this year, "Jerome Gambit: Is A Draw Good Enough?", where I pondered

One timeless question when it comes to the Jerome Gambit has been whether a draw is a good enough result for White, after his wild sacrifices.

According to The Database, I have played 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 Bc5 4.Bxf7+ almost 800 times, and only 7% of the games were drawn.

In addition, I scored 82% in those games, so the Jerome has hardly been a drawing weapon for me.

I have also been helped by a rating advantage: on average, I was rated about 170 points above the average rating of my opponents - giving "Jerome Gambit odds" in many of those games. Based on ratings expectancy, I should have scored 72%; perhaps it was the Jerome that boosted my scoring another 10%.

Against kelasui, below, I was the lower rated player, however: my ratings expectancy was 40%.

Was the draw a favorable outcome for me? 

Did my opponent quickly grow tired of the whole affair and simply turn over 1/2 a point?

More questions to ponder.

perrypawnpusher - kelasui

3d/move, Chess.com, 2025

1.e4 e5 2.Nf3 Nc6 3.Bc4 Bc5 4.Bxf7+ 

4...Kxf7 5.Nxe5+ Nxe5 6.Qh5+ Ke6 

7.f4 d6 

Ah, yes, the "silicon" or "annoying" defense. For a discussion, check out "Jerome Gambit: Dealing With the Annoying" (among others).

8.fxe5 dxe5 9.Qh3+ Kf7 

Or 9...Ke7 10.Qg3 Kf7 11.Qxe5 Bd4 12.Qh5+ g6 13.Qe2 as in perrypawnpusher - TheNatureBoy, Chess.com 2021 (0-1, 24). 

10.Qh5+ Ke6 11.Qh3+ Kf7 12.Qh5+ Ke6 Draw

I was comfortable with the draw.

Apparently, my opponent was comfortable with the draw.

Only Stockfish 16.1 was not comfortable, rating my opponent's position as 3  pawns better than mine.

Oh, well...